A new Senate poll shows a very competitive Senate primary and could spell big trouble for the incumbent. The poll commissioned by the John Fleming campaign and conducted by JMC Analytics and Polling shows Fleming leading Julia Letlow and Bill Cassidy in a three-way race. Among 645 likely Republican voters, it shows Fleming with 26-% support, Letlow with 25% and Cassidy with 22%. Pollster John Couvillon says in head-to-head matchups, Fleming leads both.
“Against Senator Cassidy, Fleming has widened his lead to a 20-point lead. Against Julia Letlow, Fleming has a 9-point lead, which is beyond the poll’s margin of error,” Couvillon said.
Couvillon says Fleming’s key to success has been being able to consolidate Blake Miguez’s support after he exited the race in favor of a run in the fifth congressional district.
“The Acadiana Region has become quite conservative. Dr. Fleming is in a perfect position to pick up that support, and has,” Couvillon noted.
Couvillon says Cassidy has failed to move the needle in recent polls, and that’s going to spell big trouble for him as the campaign moves forward.
“He’s a two-term incumbent who has a massive financial advantage. And if he’s been in the low 20s for the last year, it’s very difficult, in my opinion, to go from 22% to 50.1% in the June runoff,” Couvillon explained.